Questa settimana l’euro ha scaricato un po’ di ipercomprato nei confronti del dollaro americano, vediamo se ci sarà un continuo anche la settimana entrante o se va bene così; alcuni analisti parlano di un proseguimento del rafforzamento dell’euro anche se non necessariamente fino a tornare sui massimi assoluti, seguiremo con attenzione il suo movimento.
L’euro si dimostra comunque ancora forte su yen e dollaro canadese mentre sulle altre tre valute i movimenti sono marginali. Diseguito la tabella con gli avvenimenti principali in area euro e un contributo esterno contro dollaro americano.
EUR/USD EUR/USD – The market has managed to put in 6 consecutive weeks of higher highs including a fresh 2009 high this week by 1.4340, but gains look like they could finally be stalling out with a bearish close setting up on the weekly. Overall, the current rebound has been well capped ahead of the previous 1.4720 trend highs from December 2008 and the market looks set to enter a period of consolidation after failing by the top of the range. Look for a resumption of setbacks over the coming weeks back towards the 1.3400-1.3500 with a break to open a more significant drop towards 1.2500-1.3000. Ultimately, only back above 1.4720 gives reason for pause and a shift in the broader structure. Position: SHORT @1.4210 FOR A 1.3900 OBJECTIVE, STOP @COST
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